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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Kyle Higashioka

Kyle Higashioka

C·TEX
Compare
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PA
263
H
54
HR
17
AVG
.220
xwOBA
.300
PPG
1.79
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202635124.225.306.360.135.30326.6%9.7%16.9%40451.29—
202596328.240
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

263 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
6
.300
xBA
5
.221
.291
.401
.161
.295
22.0%
6.1%
15.9%
11
3
154
1.60
—
202487263.220.264.476.256.30028.1%5.7%22.4%1721561.79—
202384261.235.276.412.177.31028.4%5.4%23.0%1001081.29—
202289248.227.269.389.162.32121.0%4.8%16.2%1001541.73—
202170211.181.248.389.208.34828.0%8.1%19.9%100811.16—
20202249.245.245.510.265.31222.4%0.0%22.4%40401.82—
20191657.214.214.464.250.21045.6%0.0%45.6%30191.19—
20182679.167.241.319.152.30920.3%7.6%12.7%30250.96—
20171320.000.100.000.000.22730.0%10.0%20.0%0010.08—
xSLG
53
.438
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
15
87.4
Median EV
28
91.0
90th % EV
33
103.9
Barrel %
65
10.9
Hard-Hit %
26
37.4
Sweet-Spot %
93
41.4
Bat Speed
Avg
32
69.5
Median
40
71.1
90th %
41
76.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
48
27.6
Whiff %
36
24.2
K %
10
28.1
BB %
10
5.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
88
≈ 11th pctl
Chase cost
-20.9r
191 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-10.4r
175 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.0%
1,070 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.93
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
244+14%741+29%7+36%11+33%12-7%14+32%19+43%71+59%22-5%37-37%51-25%52-21%43+39%183+42%24-3%72-33%64-36%70-30%44+73%22+50%8+25%28+17%30+14%57+4%49+29%24+50%123+6%18+14%21+27%15+20%10+10%10+0%63CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000