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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Kyle Higashioka

Kyle Higashioka

C·TEX
Compare
Compare
PA
328
H
73
HR
11
AVG
.240
xwOBA
.295
PPG
1.60
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202633113.245.319.392.147.31426.5%8.8%17.7%40441.33—
202596328.240
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

328 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
4
.295
xBA
20
.237
.291
.401
.161
.295
22.0%
6.1%
15.9%
11
3
154
1.60
—
202487263.220.264.476.256.30028.1%5.7%22.4%1721561.79—
202384261.235.276.412.177.31028.4%5.4%23.0%1001081.29—
202289248.227.269.389.162.32121.0%4.8%16.2%1001541.73—
202170211.181.248.389.208.34828.0%8.1%19.9%100811.16—
20202249.245.245.510.265.31222.4%0.0%22.4%40401.82—
20191657.214.214.464.250.21045.6%0.0%45.6%30191.19—
20182679.167.241.319.152.30920.3%7.6%12.7%30250.96—
20171320.000.100.000.000.22730.0%10.0%20.0%0010.08—
xSLG
22
.398
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
26
88.7
Median EV
29
91.9
90th % EV
19
103.2
Barrel %
39
8.6
Hard-Hit %
25
39.1
Sweet-Spot %
88
39.9
Bat Speed
Avg
20
68.5
Median
30
70.6
90th %
23
74.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
45
27.5
Whiff %
60
21.4
K %
42
22.0
BB %
18
6.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
94
≈ 26th pctl
Chase cost
-23.0r
213 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-13.0r
232 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.4%
1,307 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.76
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3+17%621145-17%12+12%26+38%16+25%82+23%13-20%40-41%46-34%58-25%48+52%23+25%8+24%33+13%48-42%76-31%70-26%53+43%21+50%6+30%20+36%39+37%52+5%43+17%23+45%113+20%10+4%26+24%17+8%13+0%9+0%71CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000