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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Kyle Isbel

Kyle Isbel

OF·KCR
Compare
Compare
PA
314
H
70
HR
5
AVG
.239
xwOBA
.290
PPG
1.72
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202655180.241.293.352.111.27222.8%5.0%17.8%34601.09—
2025129409.255
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

314 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
3
.290
xBA
22
.242
.303
.353
.098
.251
18.1%
5.6%
12.5%
4
4
157
1.22
—
2024141426.229.288.367.138.28320.7%6.3%14.4%8102071.47—
202393314.239.283.379.140.29018.8%5.4%13.4%571601.72—
2022100278.211.265.340.129.26927.0%5.8%21.2%591331.33—
20213584.273.333.429.156.25427.4%8.3%19.1%13591.69—
xSLG
11
.379
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
19
87.9
Median EV
29
91.3
90th % EV
17
103.2
Barrel %
16
5.5
Hard-Hit %
34
39.8
Sweet-Spot %
15
32.6
Bat Speed
Avg
32
69.4
Median
33
70.8
90th %
22
74.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
50
27.7
Whiff %
72
18.4
K %
62
18.8
BB %
10
5.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
92
≈ 21th pctl
Chase cost
-20.7r
198 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-11.4r
186 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.8%
1,133 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.83
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
1+40%10+0%7+22%95+0%13+0%6+29%17+33%18+28%32-15%39+13%30+0%21+0%6+38%24+5%59-32%72-28%92-15%67+42%26+36%11+36%39-2%44-38%53-25%48-17%42+67%15+22%9+28%18+17%23+11%19-6%16+18%11+50%6522233CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000