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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Kyle Isbel

Kyle Isbel

OF·KCR
Compare
Compare
PA
426
H
88
HR
8
AVG
.229
xwOBA
.283
PPG
1.47
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202655183.244.299.354.110.27522.4%5.5%16.9%34601.09—
2025129409.255
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

426 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
3
.283
xBA
16
.234
.303
.353
.098
.251
18.1%
5.6%
12.5%
4
4
157
1.22
—
2024141426.229.288.367.138.28320.7%6.3%14.4%8102071.47—
202393314.239.283.379.140.29018.8%5.4%13.4%571601.72—
2022100278.211.265.340.129.26927.0%5.8%21.2%591331.33—
20213584.273.333.429.156.25427.4%8.3%19.1%13591.69—
xSLG
2
.338
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
10
86.2
Median EV
10
89.7
90th % EV
37
104.1
Barrel %
10
3.9
Hard-Hit %
19
36.3
Sweet-Spot %
0
26.8
Bat Speed
Avg
31
69.3
Median
25
70.1
90th %
23
74.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
29
30.6
Whiff %
81
16.9
K %
52
20.7
BB %
15
6.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
88
≈ 11th pctl
Chase cost
-31.5r
293 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-14.5r
281 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.9%
1,576 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.92
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
4+0%8+8%12+0%7+0%7+0%93+25%20+28%25+27%48+17%36+8%39+31%16+0%8+39%18+4%46-39%69-41%66-27%44+32%28+8%12+55%20-4%52-40%55-18%55-18%45+60%15+0%8+47%17+53%19+18%17+16%25+50%12+56%932545231CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000