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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
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    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
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    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Rank #36 of 61

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Kyle Karros
Kyle Karros · #36
V⁻ -34VORP -16V⁺ -2
Kyle Karros

Kyle Karros

3B·COL
Compare
Compare
PA
226
H
46
HR
3
AVG
.237
xwOBA
.332
PPG
1.39
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj57245.257.332.379.122.32022.7%9.5%13.2%421061.86—
202666226.237
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

226 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
48
.332
xBA
45
.254
.339
.340
.103
.332
21.7%
12.8%
8.9%
3
2
92
1.39
—
202543156.226.312.277.051.26126.3%9.6%16.7%10420.98—
xSLG
24
.377
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
39
89.1
Median EV
52
92.6
90th % EV
56
105.7
Barrel %
23
6.1
Hard-Hit %
43
41.5
Sweet-Spot %
93
42.9
Bat Speed
Avg
21
68.3
Median
23
69.6
90th %
19
74.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
79
24.0
Whiff %
39
23.5
K %
43
21.7
BB %
77
12.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
92
≈ 22th pctl
Chase cost
-5.9r
46 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-3.0r
48 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
40.5%
309 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.85
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1111114+43%734+67%6432+15%13-27%15-23%13-14%14+71%73+38%13-12%16-45%29-32%25-55%11+43%72+15%13+9%11+0%9+0%10+86%7445422CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 309