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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Kyle Teel

Kyle Teel

C·CHW
Compare
Compare
PA
297
H
69
HR
8
AVG
.273
xwOBA
.337
PPG
1.87
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202578297.273.376.411.138.33725.9%12.5%13.4%831461.87—
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

297 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
55
.337
xBA
26
.240
xSLG
37
.421
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
16
87.7
Median EV
7
89.3
90th % EV
25
103.8
Barrel %
48
9.6
Hard-Hit %
19
37.6
Sweet-Spot %
100
48.3
Bat Speed
Avg
13
67.6
Median
18
69.4
90th %
23
74.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
76
23.4
Whiff %
20
27.1
K %
20
25.9
BB %
85
12.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
109
≈ 82th pctl
Chase cost
-16.2r
182 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-10.8r
168 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.4%
1,231 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.19
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3+0%8+11%9+0%11+0%94+0%6+25%16+33%27+17%35+0%38+3%35+10%21+0%9+39%18-3%33-30%76-33%57-15%48+4%23+0%13+54%28+18%44-30%63-22%54-29%49+0%21+38%8+38%13+57%21+8%24+12%26+9%22+13%845+0%7+0%835CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000