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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #4 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker · #4
V⁻ 27VORP 100V⁺ 108
Kyle Tucker

Kyle Tucker

OF·LAD
Compare
Compare
PA
266
H
54
HR
5
AVG
.235
xwOBA
.327
PPG
2.33
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj97418.262.362.471.209.36915.7%13.4%2.3%17122882.97—
202663266.235
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
42
.327
xBA
41
.251
xSLG
.333
.383
.148
.327
19.2%
12.4%
6.8%
5
4
147
2.33
—
2025148588.268.381.467.199.38015.0%14.6%0.4%22254412.98—
202484339.289.410.585.296.41015.9%16.5%-0.6%23112933.49—
2023171674.284.374.517.233.39513.6%11.9%1.7%29305453.19—
2022172611.256.330.476.220.36715.5%9.7%5.8%30264532.63—
2021159567.294.363.557.263.39915.9%9.3%6.6%30195063.18—
202073228.268.326.512.244.33120.2%7.9%12.3%981882.58—
20193272.269.319.537.268.35027.8%5.6%22.2%46531.66—
20182972.141.236.203.062.32418.1%8.3%9.8%01321.10—
23
.379
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
36
88.9
Median EV
41
91.9
90th % EV
24
102.5
Barrel %
22
5.6
Hard-Hit %
32
38.9
Sweet-Spot %
59
37.2
Bat Speed
Avg
28
68.7
Median
47
71.6
90th %
63
77.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
77
25.1
Whiff %
44
22.0
K %
56
19.2
BB %
76
12.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
109
≈ 81th pctl
Chase cost
-5.9r
57 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.4r
39 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.6%
387 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.16
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
22+14%713+11%9+22%9+0%13+8%13+17%12+0%133+50%14+8%12-28%32-12%24-25%24+50%105+33%12+22%9-21%24-6%31+0%18+42%12445+0%6+38%8-17%6522121CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 387