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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

0+50+100+150
Lance Lynn

Lance Lynn

P·FA
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj113.200004.754.5420.8%8.2%12.6%————57.80
20242424121.775004.144.1921.3%8.6%12.7%.343.29568.0%36.4%2118.79
20233434191.014120
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

No MLB Statcast pitching rows for 2026.

0
5.80
5.52
23.6%
8.3%
15.3%
.337
.293
68.8%
36.3%
266
7.82
20222323127.788004.303.9624.2%3.7%20.5%.301.30466.1%42.6%24310.57
20213130166.7118012.973.3427.4%7.0%20.4%.261.26579.5%39.9%41513.39
2020131384.063003.324.1025.9%7.3%18.6%.279.24279.4%37.1%21016.15
20193434213.31611003.673.0728.1%6.7%21.4%.285.31774.4%40.7%48314.21
20183430163.01010004.803.8222.9%10.8%12.1%.313.33370.0%49.9%2366.94
20173434187.3118003.414.7419.7%10.0%9.7%.318.24379.0%45.4%36010.59
20153433187.31211002.983.3722.2%9.1%13.1%.307.31679.2%46.2%37010.88