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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Lawrence Butler

Lawrence Butler

OF·ATH
Compare
Compare
PA
451
H
108
HR
22
AVG
.262
xwOBA
.342
PPG
2.26
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202657188.173.261.268.095.30925.5%10.6%14.9%44560.98—
2025152632.233
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

451 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
63
.342
xBA
60
.256
.305
.403
.170
.305
28.3%
9.3%
19.0%
21
23
281
1.85
—
2024124451.262.320.490.228.34223.9%7.8%16.1%22172802.26—
202342129.211.242.341.130.29427.1%3.1%24.0%40310.74—
xSLG
79
.476
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
75
91.1
Median EV
78
94.2
90th % EV
72
106.5
Barrel %
65
11.0
Hard-Hit %
74
47.4
Sweet-Spot %
51
35.7
Bat Speed
Avg
79
72.5
Median
78
73.7
90th %
82
79.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
52
27.1
Whiff %
35
24.8
K %
35
23.9
BB %
39
7.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
92
≈ 20th pctl
Chase cost
-35.7r
319 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-15.9r
245 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.5%
1,846 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.79
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+0%6+0%7+0%8+0%13+0%105+0%8+17%18+12%26+6%35+9%44+17%23+25%16+21%14+35%20+22%54-25%59-23%77-20%46+45%40+18%17+32%25+24%29-22%58-23%52-12%56+64%28+43%7+22%9+33%15+20%25+35%20+28%18+29%7+14%7+17%63+25%8251CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000