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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Lawrence Butler

Lawrence Butler

OF·ATH
Compare
Compare
PA
632
H
133
HR
21
AVG
.233
xwOBA
.305
PPG
1.85
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202655179.163.251.238.075.30226.3%10.6%15.7%34440.80—
2025152632.233
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
12
.305
xBA
11
.231
xSLG
.305
.403
.170
.305
28.3%
9.3%
19.0%
21
23
281
1.85
—
2024124451.262.320.490.228.34223.9%7.8%16.1%22172802.26—
202342129.211.242.341.130.29427.1%3.1%24.0%40310.74—
18
.393
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
44
90.0
Median EV
56
93.5
90th % EV
66
106.8
Barrel %
45
9.2
Hard-Hit %
45
44.4
Sweet-Spot %
40
35.5
Bat Speed
Avg
72
71.8
Median
69
73.3
90th %
74
78.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
55
26.0
Whiff %
7
30.3
K %
6
28.3
BB %
57
9.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
94
≈ 28th pctl
Chase cost
-47.2r
460 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-21.5r
332 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.0%
2,515 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.73
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1+33%6+0%115+0%10+0%61+0%6+13%24+29%34+7%29+18%33+0%125+48%25+4%56-39%61-36%47-30%50+52%31+26%23+35%20+0%49-39%49-23%53-3%58+67%27+25%12+33%15+30%23+0%31+17%24+9%22+31%135+0%72+29%7+33%6+17%641CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000