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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 1B peers

Rank #23 of 40

Each bar is one 1B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks · #23
V⁻ -8VORP 0V⁺ 44
Liam Hicks

Liam Hicks

C / 1B·MIA
Compare
Compare
PA
241
H
54
HR
12
AVG
.261
xwOBA
.324
PPG
2.89
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj78328.252.340.380.128.32713.9%10.2%3.7%821762.26—
202664241.261
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
38
.324
xBA
37
.249
xSLG
.352
.459
.198
.324
9.1%
10.4%
-1.3%
12
1
185
2.89
—
2025123392.246.347.344.098.31614.3%11.0%3.3%621991.62—
17
.373
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
12
86.0
Median EV
23
89.9
90th % EV
15
101.8
Barrel %
15
4.8
Hard-Hit %
14
32.8
Sweet-Spot %
1
26.5
Bat Speed
Avg
9
66.5
Median
10
67.8
90th %
7
71.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
72
25.5
Whiff %
96
9.4
K %
98
9.1
BB %
65
10.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
122
≈ 99th pctl
Chase cost
-2.9r
36 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.7r
42 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.4%
288 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.62
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3342+14%7+25%8+40%15+0%7+25%841+30%10-5%19-19%26-56%18-33%12+38%825-14%14-18%17-27%15-25%8424+17%6+13%8+18%112212212CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 288