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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #45 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. · #45
V⁻ -10VORP 23V⁺ 28
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

OF·ARI
Compare
Compare
PA
102
H
21
HR
1
AVG
.228
xwOBA
.290
PPG
1.44
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj78336.262.313.413.151.32216.0%6.4%9.7%1041802.31—
202625102.228
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

102 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
7
.290
xBA
21
.232
.290
.304
.076
.290
18.6%
7.8%
10.8%
1
1
36
1.44
—
2025133547.248.299.417.169.31513.9%5.7%8.2%19103252.44—
2024138554.278.324.434.156.32618.2%5.2%13.0%1883202.32—
2023168593.261.310.462.201.32617.4%5.6%11.8%2473832.28—
2022132494.291.344.399.108.32716.8%6.3%10.5%532732.07—
2021148541.276.322.466.190.34118.9%5.9%13.0%2113262.20—
202058225.306.350.531.225.34721.3%6.2%15.1%1131432.47—
201988343.277.330.541.264.34025.1%5.8%19.3%2062372.69—
201864263.281.312.446.165.32322.4%3.4%19.0%1111292.02—
xSLG
6
.326
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
24
87.5
Median EV
0
—
90th % EV
0
—
Barrel %
28
6.7
Hard-Hit %
18
36.0
Sweet-Spot %
38
34.7
Bat Speed
Avg
32
68.9
Median
0
—
90th %
0
—
Plate Discipline
Chase %
5
40.5
Whiff %
34
24.5
K %
62
18.6
BB %
29
7.8