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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Luis Arraez

Luis Arraez

1B / 2B·SFG
Compare
Compare
PA
672
H
200
HR
4
AVG
.314
xwOBA
.332
PPG
2.56
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202667296.326.368.438.112.3054.4%5.1%-0.7%251872.79—
2025161677.291
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
46
.332
xBA
98
.312
xSLG
.330
.391
.100
.303
3.1%
5.0%
-1.9%
8
12
400
2.48
—
2024159672.314.347.392.078.3324.3%3.6%0.7%494072.56—
2023155617.354.395.469.115.3625.5%5.7%-0.2%1034232.73—
2022155603.316.377.420.104.3437.1%8.3%-1.2%844072.63—
2021129480.294.361.375.081.34210.0%9.0%1.0%232772.15—
202035121.321.367.402.081.3579.1%6.6%2.5%00742.11—
201994366.334.402.439.105.3367.9%9.8%-1.9%422442.60—
32
.411
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
9
86.1
Median EV
7
89.1
90th % EV
0
97.9
Barrel %
2
1.6
Hard-Hit %
1
23.7
Sweet-Spot %
97
42.9
Bat Speed
Avg
0
61.7
Median
0
62.5
90th %
0
67.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
10
35.0
Whiff %
99
5.9
K %
99
4.3
BB %
2
3.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
101
≈ 54th pctl
Chase cost
-44.5r
453 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-15.8r
392 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.7%
2,420 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.49
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
23+29%7+33%9+18%17+10%103+7%15+29%14+0%45+18%60+38%42+16%252+50%20-12%68-36%83-36%67-24%62+53%30+10%10+56%16-7%41-31%65-23%61-25%40+46%242+50%10+57%14+0%9+29%14+64%115345311CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000