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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Luis Arraez

Luis Arraez

1B / 2B·SFG
Compare
Compare
PA
677
H
181
HR
8
AVG
.291
xwOBA
.303
PPG
2.48
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202665282.324.369.431.107.3104.6%5.3%-0.7%251822.80—
2025161677.291
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
10
.303
xBA
97
.292
xSLG
.330
.391
.100
.303
3.1%
5.0%
-1.9%
8
12
400
2.48
—
2024159672.314.347.392.078.3324.3%3.6%0.7%494072.56—
2023155617.354.395.469.115.3625.5%5.7%-0.2%1034232.73—
2022155603.316.377.420.104.3437.1%8.3%-1.2%844072.63—
2021129480.294.361.375.081.34210.0%9.0%1.0%232772.15—
202035121.321.367.402.081.3579.1%6.6%2.5%00742.11—
201994366.334.402.439.105.3367.9%9.8%-1.9%422442.60—
9
.368
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
3
84.7
Median EV
1
87.8
90th % EV
0
96.6
Barrel %
1
1.1
Hard-Hit %
0
16.7
Sweet-Spot %
80
39.0
Bat Speed
Avg
0
60.9
Median
0
62.1
90th %
0
67.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
15
34.0
Whiff %
99
4.1
K %
99
3.1
BB %
7
5.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
100
≈ 49th pctl
Chase cost
-47.1r
466 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.5r
428 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.0%
2,507 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.53
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3+25%85+15%13+20%1054+19%16+38%26+4%54+0%40+18%38+31%16+13%8+41%17-18%34-45%73-39%70-19%59+59%29+27%15+70%23-19%37-21%57-37%65-24%49+71%28+57%7+25%8+47%19+17%30+26%19+32%19332422211CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000