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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Luis García Jr.

Luis García Jr.

1B / 2B·WSN
Compare
Compare
PA
484
H
119
HR
9
AVG
.265
xwOBA
.310
PPG
2.10
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202662212.261.289.448.187.33314.6%3.8%10.8%721382.23—
2025141528.251
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

484 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
13
.310
xBA
51
.257
.293
.410
.159
.340
15.9%
5.1%
10.8%
16
14
299
2.12
—
2024144528.282.319.444.162.33716.3%5.1%11.2%18233222.24—
2023127484.265.307.383.118.31012.4%5.6%6.8%992672.10—
202298377.275.298.408.133.30622.3%2.9%19.4%741561.59—
202176247.242.275.411.169.28117.4%4.5%12.9%601271.67—
202040139.276.302.366.090.29620.9%3.6%17.3%21601.50—
xSLG
26
.405
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
22
88.1
Median EV
15
90.0
90th % EV
23
103.8
Barrel %
19
5.8
Hard-Hit %
20
36.5
Sweet-Spot %
14
32.4
Bat Speed
Avg
44
70.1
Median
32
70.6
90th %
44
76.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
28
31.0
Whiff %
90
15.3
K %
93
12.4
BB %
11
5.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
98
≈ 42th pctl
Chase cost
-35.0r
345 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.7r
178 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.7%
1,710 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.61
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
2+11%94+0%7+10%10+0%9+23%22+32%37+30%43+21%43+48%29+43%235+38%24+8%50-34%77-34%62-6%31+72%185+39%33+5%56-17%58-16%58-22%27+50%84+17%23+56%18+35%26+52%31+62%13+86%7233+0%7514CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000