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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
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    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
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    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
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    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
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    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
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    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
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    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 2B peers

Rank #10 of 45

Each bar is one 2B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Luis García Jr.
Luis García Jr. · #10
V⁻ -9VORP 25V⁺ 36
Luis García Jr.

Luis García Jr.

1B / 2B·WSN
Compare
Compare
PA
212
H
53
HR
7
AVG
.261
xwOBA
.333
PPG
2.23
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj71307.270.310.429.159.32615.4%5.5%9.9%971732.44—
202662212.261
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

212 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
47
.333
xBA
84
.286
.289
.448
.187
.333
14.6%
3.8%
10.8%
7
2
138
2.23
—
2025141528.251.293.410.159.34015.9%5.1%10.8%16142992.12—
2024144528.282.319.444.162.33716.3%5.1%11.2%18233222.24—
2023127484.265.307.383.118.31012.4%5.6%6.8%992672.10—
202298377.275.298.408.133.30622.3%2.9%19.4%741561.59—
202176247.242.275.411.169.28117.4%4.5%12.9%601271.67—
202040139.276.302.366.090.29620.9%3.6%17.3%21601.50—
xSLG
62
.447
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
87
92.3
Median EV
65
93.8
90th % EV
46
104.6
Barrel %
38
7.5
Hard-Hit %
78
48.0
Sweet-Spot %
20
32.4
Bat Speed
Avg
66
71.8
Median
65
73.1
90th %
62
77.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
4
42.2
Whiff %
81
16.0
K %
82
14.6
BB %
5
3.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
93
≈ 23th pctl
Chase cost
-6.5r
74 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.8r
43 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
53.3%
291 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.84
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2144323+45%11+27%15+33%12+29%7314-60%10-36%14-26%23-5%19+50%64+43%7-12%17-43%14-7%14+10%10312+44%9+14%7+50%63313211CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 291