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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #94 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Luis Robert Jr.
Luis Robert Jr. · #60
V⁻ -8VORP 6V⁺ 9
Luis Robert Jr.

Luis Robert Jr.

OF·NYM
Compare
Compare
PA
98
H
19
HR
2
AVG
.224
xwOBA
.323
PPG
1.83
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj51220.238.306.408.169.31826.3%8.2%18.1%8111052.06—
20262498.224
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

98 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
36
.323
xBA
30
.242
.327
.329
.105
.323
17.3%
13.3%
4.0%
2
2
44
1.83
—
2025111431.223.300.364.141.32826.0%9.3%16.7%14332262.04—
2024103425.224.279.379.155.28633.2%6.6%26.6%14231471.43—
2023147596.263.316.541.278.35328.9%5.0%23.9%38203612.46—
2022105401.284.320.426.142.33819.2%4.2%15.0%12122652.52—
202180296.338.381.567.229.38720.6%4.7%15.9%1392242.80—
202062227.233.305.436.203.33232.2%8.8%23.4%1191201.94—
xSLG
22
.376
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
60
90.2
Median EV
65
93.8
90th % EV
83
108.0
Barrel %
6
2.9
Hard-Hit %
50
42.6
Sweet-Spot %
0
23.5
Bat Speed
Avg
86
73.8
Median
87
75.1
90th %
93
81.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
33
32.1
Whiff %
32
25.0
K %
71
17.3
BB %
81
13.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 68th pctl
Chase cost
-5.7r
60 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.6r
48 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.2%
353 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.33
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
11334312+0%714+67%654+17%6+38%16-53%15-5%20-23%13+78%9-14%7+57%7-7%15-30%30-41%17-41%1752+25%8+18%22+6%16+14%14+20%102335343CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 353