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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Luis Robert Jr.

Luis Robert Jr.

OF·NYM
Compare
Compare
PA
425
H
88
HR
14
AVG
.224
xwOBA
.286
PPG
1.43
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20262498.224.327.329.105.32317.3%13.3%4.0%22441.83—
2025111431.223
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

425 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
3
.286
xBA
2
.207
.300
.364
.141
.328
26.0%
9.3%
16.7%
14
33
226
2.04
—
2024103425.224.279.379.155.28633.2%6.6%26.6%14231471.43—
2023147596.263.316.541.278.35328.9%5.0%23.9%38203612.46—
2022105401.284.320.426.142.33819.2%4.2%15.0%12122652.52—
202180296.338.381.567.229.38720.6%4.7%15.9%1392242.80—
202062227.233.305.436.203.33232.2%8.8%23.4%1191201.94—
xSLG
13
.376
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
60
90.1
Median EV
60
93.0
90th % EV
72
106.5
Barrel %
59
9.9
Hard-Hit %
41
40.7
Sweet-Spot %
54
36.0
Bat Speed
Avg
81
72.8
Median
81
74.1
90th %
84
79.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
9
35.8
Whiff %
1
32.9
K %
1
33.2
BB %
19
6.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
78
≈ 1th pctl
Chase cost
-34.9r
350 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-17.0r
200 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
53.1%
1,609 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.22
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
122+14%7+10%1023+17%6+6%17+20%20+22%27+19%16+31%165+31%16+17%41-40%52-12%48-14%37+23%30+33%15+48%27+24%49-37%62-16%57-6%52+36%22+100%8+30%23+56%48+21%47+32%25+23%30+41%17+17%6+14%14+36%14+36%14+50%10341CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000