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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Luis Robert Jr.

Luis Robert Jr.

OF·NYM
Compare
Compare
PA
431
H
85
HR
14
AVG
.223
xwOBA
.328
PPG
2.04
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20262498.224.327.329.105.32317.3%13.3%4.0%22441.83—
2025111431.223
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

431 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
39
.328
xBA
26
.240
.300
.364
.141
.328
26.0%
9.3%
16.7%
14
33
226
2.04
—
2024103425.224.279.379.155.28633.2%6.6%26.6%14231471.43—
2023147596.263.316.541.278.35328.9%5.0%23.9%38203612.46—
2022105401.284.320.426.142.33819.2%4.2%15.0%12122652.52—
202180296.338.381.567.229.38720.6%4.7%15.9%1392242.80—
202062227.233.305.436.203.33232.2%8.8%23.4%1191201.94—
xSLG
34
.419
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
32
89.1
Median EV
30
92.0
90th % EV
57
106.0
Barrel %
54
10.2
Hard-Hit %
31
41.6
Sweet-Spot %
61
36.9
Bat Speed
Avg
90
73.3
Median
92
75.3
90th %
94
81.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
18
32.6
Whiff %
9
29.5
K %
19
26.0
BB %
57
9.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
98
≈ 41th pctl
Chase cost
-28.7r
326 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-12.4r
159 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
53.4%
1,576 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.61
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
335+17%6+29%7+33%615+43%14+35%17+33%27+53%19+56%165+18%17+11%37-18%44-14%56-4%48+48%31+29%14+43%23+13%52-23%69-11%56-20%44+47%30+27%11+31%26+40%48+36%39+14%37+23%22+31%165+17%12+18%11+56%18+13%8241CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000