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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Luis Urías

Luis Urías

2B·ARI
Compare
Compare
PA
331
H
66
HR
8
AVG
.229
xwOBA
.304
PPG
1.57
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202595331.229.317.337.108.30413.6%9.4%4.2%821491.57—
202443109.191
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

331 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
12
.304
xBA
24
.238
.303
.394
.203
.314
31.2%
8.3%
22.9%
4
0
47
1.09
—
202353177.194.337.299.105.30323.2%11.9%11.3%30771.45—
2022119474.238.337.402.164.33020.9%10.5%10.4%1612281.92—
2021159570.249.346.445.196.33520.4%11.1%9.3%2353552.23—
202035120.239.308.294.055.27026.7%8.3%18.4%02371.06—
201975249.223.329.326.103.30722.5%10.0%12.5%401141.52—
20181253.208.269.354.146.27418.9%5.7%13.2%21221.83—
xSLG
4
.352
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
7
86.2
Median EV
4
88.8
90th % EV
11
101.9
Barrel %
6
3.7
Hard-Hit %
6
30.2
Sweet-Spot %
7
31.8
Bat Speed
Avg
11
67.2
Median
13
69.1
90th %
14
74.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
77
22.9
Whiff %
95
12.0
K %
91
13.6
BB %
61
9.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
108
≈ 79th pctl
Chase cost
-16.4r
166 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-13.0r
242 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.2%
1,318 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.23
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
135+14%734+17%6-6%17-25%32+24%21+16%19-12%8+0%6+15%20-37%46-37%62-40%73-15%47+35%17+10%10+22%23-15%41-27%74-31%67-23%57+59%17+14%7+28%25+48%29+29%45+9%33+0%21+22%925+15%20+18%17+67%641CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000