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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #31 of 237

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall · #31
V⁻ 6VORP 30V⁺ 78
Luke Keaschall

Luke Keaschall

2B / OF·MIN
Compare
Compare
PA
389
H
85
HR
4
AVG
.257
xwOBA
.301
PPG
2.01
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj82356.262.341.387.125.32816.4%9.1%7.3%6151912.34—
202699389.257
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
16
.301
xBA
15
.230
xSLG
.358
.341
.084
.301
15.4%
10.3%
5.1%
4
13
199
2.01
—
202549207.302.383.445.143.32814.0%9.2%4.8%4141432.92—
8
.330
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
3
84.4
Median EV
8
87.8
90th % EV
14
101.6
Barrel %
6
2.9
Hard-Hit %
6
28.3
Sweet-Spot %
74
38.4
Bat Speed
Avg
12
67.1
Median
15
68.9
90th %
13
73.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
88
22.6
Whiff %
85
15.7
K %
79
15.4
BB %
63
10.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
107
≈ 76th pctl
Chase cost
-5.2r
53 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.9r
55 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.9%
366 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.23
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
12224+29%7+60%10+0%831+33%6-10%21-32%19-17%18+0%14+11%93+0%12-26%23-32%31-27%22-17%1815+27%11+33%15+50%12+0%10-17%1241+0%623221CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 366