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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Rank #6 of 61

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Manny Machado
Manny Machado · #6
V⁻ -5VORP 29V⁺ 65
Manny Machado

Manny Machado

3B·SDP
Compare
Compare
PA
274
H
43
HR
11
AVG
.178
xwOBA
.308
PPG
1.77
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj95408.254.322.443.188.33919.8%9.0%10.8%1752292.41—
202666274.178
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
24
.308
xBA
18
.227
xSLG
.260
.355
.177
.308
22.3%
9.9%
12.4%
11
1
117
1.77
—
2025167679.274.337.459.185.35819.3%8.1%11.2%27144252.54—
2024161644.274.327.471.197.34519.3%7.0%12.3%29114022.50—
2023142602.257.322.461.204.33518.1%8.3%9.8%3033662.58—
2022171644.298.368.531.233.35220.7%9.8%10.9%3294952.89—
2021161641.278.352.488.210.38415.9%9.8%6.1%28124582.84—
202068255.302.375.578.276.39114.5%10.2%4.3%1662303.38—
2019161662.255.335.461.206.34619.3%9.8%9.5%3254022.50—
2018183709.297.369.538.241.38014.7%9.9%4.8%37155513.01—
2017160692.258.313.470.212.36316.6%7.2%9.4%3394192.62—
30
.391
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
48
89.6
Median EV
22
89.7
90th % EV
27
103.0
Barrel %
47
8.6
Hard-Hit %
49
42.5
Sweet-Spot %
16
31.7
Bat Speed
Avg
70
72.3
Median
67
73.3
90th %
57
77.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
40
31.2
Whiff %
43
23.1
K %
39
22.3
BB %
55
9.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
112
≈ 88th pctl
Chase cost
-4.5r
51 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-3.2r
53 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.9%
375 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.04
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1222115+0%9+27%114414-8%12-38%21-30%20+0%1555+31%13-14%29-30%27-48%25+8%12+29%74+20%10+33%21+33%18-18%11+0%83+0%75+0%8111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 375