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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Manny Machado

Manny Machado

3B·SDP
Compare
Compare
PA
602
H
140
HR
30
AVG
.257
xwOBA
.335
PPG
2.58
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202664261.166.254.336.170.30723.0%10.3%12.7%1111091.70—
2025167679.274
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
46
.335
xBA
36
.249
xSLG
.337
.459
.185
.358
19.3%
8.1%
11.2%
27
14
425
2.54
—
2024161644.274.327.471.197.34519.3%7.0%12.3%29114022.50—
2023142602.257.322.461.204.33518.1%8.3%9.8%3033662.58—
2022171644.298.368.531.233.35220.7%9.8%10.9%3294952.89—
2021161641.278.352.488.210.38415.9%9.8%6.1%28124582.84—
202068255.302.375.578.276.39114.5%10.2%4.3%1662303.38—
2019161662.255.335.461.206.34619.3%9.8%9.5%3254022.50—
2018183709.297.369.538.241.38014.7%9.9%4.8%37155513.01—
2017160692.258.313.470.212.36316.6%7.2%9.4%3394192.62—
66
.464
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
72
91.0
Median EV
65
93.3
90th % EV
81
107.4
Barrel %
63
10.5
Hard-Hit %
67
45.9
Sweet-Spot %
10
32.0
Bat Speed
Avg
97
74.9
Median
96
76.2
90th %
97
81.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
39
29.3
Whiff %
45
22.5
K %
66
18.1
BB %
39
8.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 60th pctl
Chase cost
-38.2r
394 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-17.7r
293 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.3%
2,284 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.45
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
2+13%8+22%94+22%93+29%7+8%26+34%29+24%38+16%32+56%94+0%8-18%33-26%62-13%55-14%42+30%23+17%12+21%28+0%58-33%67-18%57-2%42+35%23+25%8+29%17+10%31+4%51+16%32-11%19+18%11+22%9+8%12+14%7+9%11+22%9525CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000