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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Manny Machado

Manny Machado

3B·SDP
Compare
Compare
PA
644
H
163
HR
29
AVG
.274
xwOBA
.345
PPG
2.50
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202670287.177.259.358.181.31122.0%9.8%12.2%1211231.76—
2025167679.274
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
69
.345
xBA
78
.273
xSLG
.337
.459
.185
.358
19.3%
8.1%
11.2%
27
14
425
2.54
—
2024161644.274.327.471.197.34519.3%7.0%12.3%29114022.50—
2023142602.257.322.461.204.33518.1%8.3%9.8%3033662.58—
2022171644.298.368.531.233.35220.7%9.8%10.9%3294952.89—
2021161641.278.352.488.210.38415.9%9.8%6.1%28124582.84—
202068255.302.375.578.276.39114.5%10.2%4.3%1662303.38—
2019161662.255.335.461.206.34619.3%9.8%9.5%3254022.50—
2018183709.297.369.538.241.38014.7%9.9%4.8%37155513.01—
2017160692.258.313.470.212.36316.6%7.2%9.4%3394192.62—
77
.474
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
89
92.4
Median EV
80
94.3
90th % EV
81
107.7
Barrel %
65
11.0
Hard-Hit %
85
48.8
Sweet-Spot %
35
34.7
Bat Speed
Avg
89
73.3
Median
87
74.8
90th %
86
79.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
36
29.8
Whiff %
49
22.2
K %
60
19.3
BB %
27
7.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
101
≈ 52th pctl
Chase cost
-43.4r
426 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.9r
299 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
51.6%
2,402 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.51
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
143+14%7+0%9534+38%16+10%29+5%22+32%31+57%14+11%9+23%13+3%33-19%54-21%63-18%34+46%24+27%15+38%16-12%52-32%60-18%68-10%48+35%23+47%15+21%24+30%37+5%40+9%43+18%33+50%84+27%11+24%17+20%15+13%851CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000