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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Manuel Margot

Manuel Margot

OF·FA
Compare
Compare
PA
336
H
82
HR
4
AVG
.264
xwOBA
.301
PPG
1.68
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2025820.316.316.316.000.30130.0%0.0%30.0%0070.88—
2024120344.237
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

336 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
8
.301
xBA
53
.258
.291
.335
.098
.311
15.7%
6.1%
9.6%
4
6
149
1.24
—
2023101336.264.312.376.112.30116.4%5.4%11.0%491701.68—
2022100363.274.326.375.101.30318.7%6.6%12.1%471991.99—
2021130465.254.315.382.128.31915.1%8.0%7.1%10122682.06—
202062159.269.329.352.083.31015.7%8.2%7.5%1141231.98—
2019153442.233.303.386.153.27719.9%8.6%11.3%12192421.58—
2018144521.244.294.382.138.29816.9%6.1%10.8%8122571.78—
2017132529.263.315.409.146.30220.0%6.6%13.4%13172451.86—
2016937.243.243.405.162.27118.9%0.0%18.9%02171.89—
xSLG
8
.370
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
12
87.3
Median EV
14
89.8
90th % EV
41
104.7
Barrel %
7
3.9
Hard-Hit %
23
37.8
Sweet-Spot %
1
28.6
Bat Speed
Avg
50
70.4
Median
42
71.3
90th %
35
75.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
28
31.0
Whiff %
47
22.3
K %
76
16.4
BB %
10
5.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
103
≈ 60th pctl
Chase cost
-23.9r
234 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-7.0r
160 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.7%
1,263 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.45
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
13543+0%61+25%12+47%17+26%23+17%18+50%16+14%144+65%17-9%35-23%53-24%58-24%37+28%25+0%14+50%24+7%55-17%78-19%73-22%37+24%17+10%10+38%32+47%34+18%62-9%33-9%23+25%83+15%13+36%144+14%7422CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000