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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Marcell Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna

H·PIT
Compare
Compare
PA
592
H
113
HR
21
AVG
.232
xwOBA
.357
PPG
2.00
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202649203.192.276.302.110.31028.6%9.4%19.2%50551.12—
2025150592.232
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
77
.357
xBA
26
.240
xSLG
.360
.400
.168
.357
24.3%
15.9%
8.4%
21
0
300
2.00
—
2024171689.301.380.545.244.40724.7%10.7%14.0%3914402.57—
2023154592.274.347.558.284.39722.6%9.6%13.0%4004202.73—
2022138507.226.276.413.187.33724.1%6.1%18.0%2322271.64—
202156208.213.288.356.143.34722.1%9.1%13.0%701041.86—
202074268.336.431.633.297.43822.4%14.2%8.2%1802513.39—
2019143550.241.328.471.230.37920.7%11.3%9.4%29124122.88—
2018155629.280.327.432.152.35617.5%6.0%11.5%2333762.43—
2017170680.311.376.547.236.37021.2%9.4%11.8%3714892.88—
57
.451
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
40
89.9
Median EV
56
93.5
90th % EV
60
106.3
Barrel %
64
11.4
Hard-Hit %
47
44.6
Sweet-Spot %
58
36.6
Bat Speed
Avg
55
71.0
Median
59
72.6
90th %
58
77.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
80
22.4
Whiff %
36
23.8
K %
28
24.3
BB %
98
15.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 60th pctl
Chase cost
-37.6r
347 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-26.6r
447 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
39.4%
2,635 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.44
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
225434+33%9+33%9-12%16+0%23+13%16+25%122+36%22-3%37-30%44-20%40-31%52+9%32+0%7+32%31+4%45-33%86-31%68-48%52-3%33+0%8+24%21+30%40-5%44+3%35+4%24+9%114+15%13+17%18+12%17+0%10231CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000