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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Marcell Ozuna

Marcell Ozuna

H·PIT
Compare
Compare
PA
203
H
35
HR
5
AVG
.192
xwOBA
.310
PPG
1.12
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj72312.239.332.418.179.33524.7%11.8%12.9%1201512.10—
202649203.192
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

203 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
27
.310
xBA
12
.221
.276
.302
.110
.310
28.6%
9.4%
19.2%
5
0
55
1.12
—
2025150592.232.360.400.168.35724.3%15.9%8.4%2103002.00—
2024171689.301.380.545.244.40724.7%10.7%14.0%3914402.57—
2023154592.274.347.558.284.39722.6%9.6%13.0%4004202.73—
2022138507.226.276.413.187.33724.1%6.1%18.0%2322271.64—
202156208.213.288.356.143.34722.1%9.1%13.0%701041.86—
202074268.336.431.633.297.43822.4%14.2%8.2%1802513.39—
2019143550.241.328.471.230.37920.7%11.3%9.4%29124122.88—
2018155629.280.327.432.152.35617.5%6.0%11.5%2333762.43—
2017170680.311.376.547.236.37021.2%9.4%11.8%3714892.88—
xSLG
27
.388
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
44
89.5
Median EV
15
89.2
90th % EV
35
103.7
Barrel %
43
8.1
Hard-Hit %
33
39.0
Sweet-Spot %
91
41.5
Bat Speed
Avg
65
71.7
Median
67
73.3
90th %
67
78.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
73
25.4
Whiff %
19
28.1
K %
13
28.6
BB %
51
9.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 69th pctl
Chase cost
-4.8r
53 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.7r
47 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.7%
323 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.32
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
113225245+14%7+50%8+8%13-26%19-33%12-23%13+13%815+0%14-39%31-32%28+0%12+50%10+17%6+50%8+30%10+31%13+0%15+17%6+0%93455342CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 323