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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 2B peers

Rank #12 of 45

Each bar is one 2B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Marcus Semien
Marcus Semien · #12
V⁻ -25VORP 3V⁺ 37
Marcus Semien

Marcus Semien

2B·NYM
Compare
Compare
PA
259
H
53
HR
8
AVG
.224
xwOBA
.325
PPG
1.64
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj95409.236.305.383.147.30917.7%8.7%9.0%1272042.15—
202666259.224
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
39
.325
xBA
55
.261
xSLG
.278
.359
.135
.325
19.3%
6.6%
12.7%
8
5
108
1.64
—
2025131535.229.310.363.134.31817.4%9.3%8.1%15112752.10—
2024164718.237.308.391.154.32214.6%8.9%5.7%2384142.52—
2023186754.276.350.477.201.33614.6%9.5%5.1%29145653.04—
2022173726.247.307.428.181.31116.5%7.3%9.2%26254452.57—
2021171726.265.335.537.272.33720.1%9.1%11.0%45155213.05—
202062236.223.305.374.151.28721.2%10.6%10.6%741382.23—
2019166747.285.370.522.237.36513.7%11.6%2.1%33105623.39—
2018165704.254.321.387.133.30618.6%8.7%9.9%15143632.20—
201794386.249.327.398.149.31322.0%9.8%12.2%10132142.28—
54
.430
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
10
85.8
Median EV
10
88.3
90th % EV
15
101.8
Barrel %
46
8.5
Hard-Hit %
21
36.0
Sweet-Spot %
54
37.0
Bat Speed
Avg
9
66.4
Median
8
67.4
90th %
8
72.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
54
28.3
Whiff %
58
19.7
K %
53
19.3
BB %
14
6.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
107
≈ 76th pctl
Chase cost
-4.7r
50 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.0r
40 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.8%
303 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.24
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
12121243+17%6544+11%9-21%19-19%16-23%22+14%72+60%10+11%18-28%18-17%24-33%12515+22%9+26%19+36%14+63%82442+0%7+29%71CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 303