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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

0+50+100+150
Marcus Stroman

Marcus Stroman

SP·FA
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj101049.033004.954.8515.4%9.0%6.4%————555.55
2025101042.732006.125.5414.9%9.1%5.8%.368.30969.7%48.1%373.70
20243130160.71191
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

No MLB Statcast pitching rows for 2026.

0
4.15
4.48
16.7%
8.9%
7.8%
.345
.309
74.6%
49.9%
234
7.55
20232826142.3119003.793.3620.7%9.0%11.7%.319.28466.5%57.4%2689.57
20222727144.767003.613.8620.8%6.3%14.5%.311.26972.4%52.0%2679.89
20213434184.01113003.083.4521.6%5.9%15.7%.320.29075.6%52.6%36310.68
20193232184.31013003.223.6020.5%7.5%13.0%.294.30776.1%53.9%32410.13
20182121109.749005.423.9417.1%8.0%9.1%.323.32461.4%63.8%964.57
20173434205.0139003.033.8119.7%7.4%12.3%.315.31178.5%63.0%40511.91
20163535219.3911004.313.7319.4%6.3%13.1%.307.30069.1%61.6%3429.77
20157746.350002.723.4517.3%5.8%11.5%.278.26977.9%64.1%11216.00