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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Mark Canha

Mark Canha

OF·FA
Compare
Compare
PA
509
H
114
HR
11
AVG
.261
xwOBA
.323
PPG
2.05
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202549126.211.274.263.052.26819.0%5.6%13.4%10360.73—
2024128463.241
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

509 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
28
.323
xBA
25
.243
.347
.345
.104
.295
20.7%
11.0%
9.7%
7
7
201
1.57
—
2023142509.261.358.398.137.32315.5%9.6%5.9%11112912.05—
2022149542.266.370.403.137.32917.9%8.9%9.0%1333112.09—
2021148625.231.360.387.156.33220.5%12.3%8.2%17123462.34—
202068243.246.395.408.162.36022.2%15.2%7.0%541492.19—
2019129497.273.398.517.244.36321.5%13.5%8.0%2633402.64—
2018125411.249.330.449.200.34321.4%8.3%13.1%1712441.95—
201766187.208.263.382.174.27929.9%3.7%26.2%52570.86—
20162644.122.143.341.219.23745.5%0.0%45.5%3090.35—
xSLG
12
.381
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
19
87.9
Median EV
28
91.1
90th % EV
23
103.8
Barrel %
9
4.7
Hard-Hit %
21
36.7
Sweet-Spot %
14
32.3
Bat Speed
Avg
7
66.2
Median
6
67.2
90th %
8
72.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
77
23.8
Whiff %
77
17.2
K %
84
15.5
BB %
56
9.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
107
≈ 77th pctl
Chase cost
-30.9r
306 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-18.2r
394 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.7%
2,168 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.27
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
+0%745341+14%14+9%11-7%28+0%33+50%1454+27%22-8%48-30%57-32%59-24%34+52%27+15%13+32%22+6%52-44%71-26%65-12%56+45%20+25%8+11%18+26%31+2%41+0%32+0%26+7%143+6%16+0%11+9%11+11%923CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000