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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Masyn Winn

Masyn Winn

SS·STL
Compare
Compare
PA
637
H
157
HR
15
AVG
.267
xwOBA
.298
PPG
2.18
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202660257.231.316.316.085.29820.6%8.6%12.0%261021.70—
2025131538.252
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
6
.298
xBA
48
.249
xSLG
.311
.362
.110
.286
19.0%
6.3%
12.7%
9
11
250
1.91
—
2024153637.267.316.416.149.29817.1%6.4%10.7%15113342.18—
202341137.172.235.238.066.25219.0%7.3%11.7%23451.10—
6
.360
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
8
86.0
Median EV
2
88.1
90th % EV
23
103.4
Barrel %
8
3.7
Hard-Hit %
10
32.7
Sweet-Spot %
31
34.4
Bat Speed
Avg
23
68.5
Median
19
69.7
90th %
25
75.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
31
30.4
Whiff %
81
16.8
K %
72
17.1
BB %
16
6.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
96
≈ 33th pctl
Chase cost
-47.9r
448 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-20.6r
410 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.8%
2,564 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.67
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3455+57%712+50%8+30%10+36%22+13%24+24%17+45%11+0%7+50%14-21%24-34%62-28%72-18%49+29%28+17%12+65%23+5%41-36%58-47%75-41%54+21%24+9%11+43%21+49%37+6%51+9%45+4%23+0%134+17%6+8%13+7%15+7%15+0%9+0%62CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000