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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Masyn Winn

Masyn Winn

SS·STL
Compare
Compare
PA
538
H
124
HR
9
AVG
.252
xwOBA
.286
PPG
1.91
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202657239.236.323.322.086.29721.8%8.8%13.0%25931.63—
2025131538.252
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
1
.286
xBA
17
.234
xSLG
.311
.362
.110
.286
19.0%
6.3%
12.7%
9
11
250
1.91
—
2024153637.267.316.416.149.29817.1%6.4%10.7%15113342.18—
202341137.172.235.238.066.25219.0%7.3%11.7%23451.10—
2
.341
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
14
87.3
Median EV
9
89.7
90th % EV
26
103.9
Barrel %
8
4.8
Hard-Hit %
14
34.6
Sweet-Spot %
15
33.3
Bat Speed
Avg
31
69.2
Median
36
70.9
90th %
32
75.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
59
25.7
Whiff %
87
15.9
K %
63
19.0
BB %
20
6.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 70th pctl
Chase cost
-35.8r
330 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-17.7r
399 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.0%
2,295 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.33
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
225212+67%6+25%12+10%20+35%17+42%12+44%92+43%14-17%29-27%70-20%54-12%43+22%183+40%15-12%49-29%77-28%89-46%59+16%25+0%7+48%25+16%45+9%69+17%42+20%30+40%103+13%8+19%21+0%8+11%9421CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000