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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. SS peers

Rank #24 of 64

Each bar is one SS, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn · #24
V⁻ -30VORP -5V⁺ 28
Masyn Winn

Masyn Winn

SS·STL
Compare
Compare
PA
257
H
52
HR
2
AVG
.231
xwOBA
.298
PPG
1.70
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj98421.252.311.376.124.30818.3%7.3%11.1%891972.01—
202660257.231
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
16
.298
xBA
39
.250
xSLG
.316
.316
.085
.298
20.6%
8.6%
12.0%
2
6
102
1.70
—
2025131538.252.311.362.110.28619.0%6.3%12.7%9112501.91—
2024153637.267.316.416.149.29817.1%6.4%10.7%15113342.18—
202341137.172.235.238.066.25219.0%7.3%11.7%23451.10—
6
.321
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
14
86.4
Median EV
4
86.5
90th % EV
14
101.4
Barrel %
9
3.4
Hard-Hit %
14
33.5
Sweet-Spot %
20
32.4
Bat Speed
Avg
24
68.6
Median
26
70.1
90th %
24
74.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
79
24.0
Whiff %
52
20.8
K %
48
20.6
BB %
40
8.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 59th pctl
Chase cost
-4.9r
46 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-3.0r
64 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
36.8%
326 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.43
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1111233+0%6-14%7251+43%7+5%19-31%16-35%17-5%19+23%135+22%9+7%15-45%20-52%21-43%21+0%844+55%11+7%15+8%12-25%122423122CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 326