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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

-300-200-1000+100
Matt Thaiss

Matt Thaiss

C·BOS
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj15.233.360.292.059.30821.5%16.1%5.4%0021.97—
202562191.217.349.287.070.29524.1%15.2%8.9%11681.10—
202462187.203.323.297.094
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

No MLB Statcast hitting rows for 2026.

.296
31.0%
15.0%
16.0%
2
3
54
0.87
—
202398307.214.322.340.126.33327.0%11.7%15.3%921161.18—
20223281.217.325.319.102.29029.6%13.6%16.0%21361.13—
202148.143.250.143.000.29912.5%12.5%0.0%0010.25—
2020925.143.280.286.143.23732.0%16.0%16.0%1050.56—
201957165.209.291.419.210.28431.5%10.3%21.2%80741.30—
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
119
≈ 97th pctl
Chase cost
+0.0r
0 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.1r
1 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
0.0%
5 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.74
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1111CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 5