Matt Waldron

P · SDP

MLBAM 663362

Seasons

Yr	BF	K%	BB%	xwOBA	Pts	PPG
2026	21	19.0%	4.8%	0.342	-12	-6.00
2025	25	12.0%	24.0%	0.474	-8	-8.00
2024	626	21.2%	6.4%	0.317	208	7.70
2023	173	17.9%	6.9%	0.321	54	6.75

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

Season

21 BF this season — below qualified-pitcher cutoff. Bars ranked against qualified peers (faded to flag small sample).

Arsenal

FB Velocity

91.6

FB Spin

2093

Extension

6.73

Results

xwOBA

0.342

Barrel %

6.7

Hard-Hit %

40.0

K %

19.0

BB %

4.8

Chase %

31.8

Whiff %

12.5

Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+

≈ 37th pctl

Stuff+

if they swing

Command+

out-of-zone take RV

Strike quality+

RV of in-zone pitches

Crushable pitches

10.1%

14 meatballs

Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)

0.048

RV per pitch · league 0.042

+0.005 worse than avg · 36 pitches

Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.

Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)

0.001

RV per pitch · league 0.029

-0.028 better than avg · 10 pitches

How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.

Based on 139 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Velo	Spin	Whiff%	Zone%	CSW%	Chase%	xwOBA
KnuckleballKN	38.3%	80.9	371	5.3%	51.6%	12.9%	33.3%	0.277
SweeperST	24.7%	81.8	2237	25.0%	45.0%	40.0%	18.2%	0.355
4-Seam FastballFF	19.8%	92.5	2018	27.3%	37.5%	18.8%	50.0%	0.392
SinkerSI	9.9%	91.9	2161	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.743
CutterFC	7.4%	88.8	2200	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	50.0%	0.274

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.

	KN	ST	FF	SI	FC

Usage	38%	25%	20%	10%	7%
MPH	80.9	81.8	92.5	91.9	88.8
RHP Avg	—	83.3	95.0	94.3	89.8

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision

23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival

At the Plate

Where they actually cross

KNSTFFSIFC

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.