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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Mauricio Dubón

Mauricio Dubón

2B / 3B / SS / OF·ATL
Compare
Compare
PA
492
H
130
HR
10
AVG
.278
xwOBA
.304
PPG
2.12
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202663246.260.317.414.154.31316.3%6.9%9.4%611412.24—
2025122398.241
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

492 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
8
.304
xBA
75
.269
.289
.355
.114
.278
10.6%
6.0%
4.6%
7
3
198
1.62
—
2024133428.269.300.361.092.27612.9%3.7%9.2%442111.59—
2023139492.278.311.411.133.30414.2%3.9%10.3%1072942.12—
202294265.214.257.313.099.27911.3%4.9%6.4%531441.53—
202172187.240.281.377.137.27821.9%4.8%17.1%53821.14—
202051177.274.341.389.115.32120.3%8.5%11.8%42831.63—
201931112.271.304.430.159.27817.9%4.5%13.4%43561.81—
xSLG
16
.389
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
10
86.7
Median EV
4
88.3
90th % EV
12
102.2
Barrel %
9
4.5
Hard-Hit %
8
29.5
Sweet-Spot %
72
37.8
Bat Speed
Avg
19
68.3
Median
16
69.1
90th %
25
75.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
3
40.5
Whiff %
87
16.0
K %
91
14.2
BB %
1
3.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
93
≈ 23th pctl
Chase cost
-39.2r
424 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.8r
184 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
58.9%
1,750 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.80
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
32+50%64+67%623+57%7+29%17+45%33+45%31+57%14+54%13+25%8+62%13+20%35-9%47-11%55+0%56+65%26+11%9+43%21+16%58-36%73-14%65-20%51+63%27+43%7+24%25+48%27+35%46+11%37+31%16+11%93+9%11+20%20+13%16+33%913CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000