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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Mauricio Dubón

Mauricio Dubón

2B / 3B / SS / OF·ATL
Compare
Compare
PA
428
H
108
HR
4
AVG
.269
xwOBA
.276
PPG
1.59
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202665260.259.317.406.147.31415.8%6.9%8.9%611422.18—
2025122398.241
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

428 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
2
.276
xBA
48
.248
.289
.355
.114
.278
10.6%
6.0%
4.6%
7
3
198
1.62
—
2024133428.269.300.361.092.27612.9%3.7%9.2%442111.59—
2023139492.278.311.411.133.30414.2%3.9%10.3%1072942.12—
202294265.214.257.313.099.27911.3%4.9%6.4%531441.53—
202172187.240.281.377.137.27821.9%4.8%17.1%53821.14—
202051177.274.341.389.115.32120.3%8.5%11.8%42831.63—
201931112.271.304.430.159.27817.9%4.5%13.4%43561.81—
xSLG
4
.343
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
2
85.0
Median EV
6
88.9
90th % EV
4
100.2
Barrel %
5
2.8
Hard-Hit %
3
26.5
Sweet-Spot %
12
32.1
Bat Speed
Avg
15
67.5
Median
15
68.8
90th %
15
74.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
3
41.1
Whiff %
82
16.7
K %
94
12.9
BB %
2
3.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
95
≈ 32th pctl
Chase cost
-33.0r
359 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-6.1r
132 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
59.6%
1,464 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.67
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
41+75%8+50%653+67%12+35%20-5%22+50%24+63%19+55%11+29%7+69%16+7%43-13%47-5%63+2%50+75%28+25%8+36%14-13%47-25%72-12%74-2%55+67%245+31%26+43%28+20%49+16%38+33%21+25%12+10%10+20%10+8%13+17%12+17%632CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000