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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Mauricio Dubón

Mauricio Dubón

2B / 3B / SS / OF·ATL
Compare
Compare
PA
398
H
89
HR
7
AVG
.241
xwOBA
.278
PPG
1.62
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202663246.260.317.414.154.31316.3%6.9%9.4%611412.24—
2025122398.241
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

398 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.278
xBA
37
.246
.289
.355
.114
.278
10.6%
6.0%
4.6%
7
3
198
1.62
—
2024133428.269.300.361.092.27612.9%3.7%9.2%442111.59—
2023139492.278.311.411.133.30414.2%3.9%10.3%1072942.12—
202294265.214.257.313.099.27911.3%4.9%6.4%531441.53—
202172187.240.281.377.137.27821.9%4.8%17.1%53821.14—
202051177.274.341.389.115.32120.3%8.5%11.8%42831.63—
201931112.271.304.430.159.27817.9%4.5%13.4%43561.81—
xSLG
1
.330
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
0
82.8
Median EV
0
85.6
90th % EV
2
99.8
Barrel %
1
1.2
Hard-Hit %
3
26.3
Sweet-Spot %
12
32.3
Bat Speed
Avg
4
65.9
Median
5
67.7
90th %
5
72.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
14
34.7
Whiff %
89
14.6
K %
96
10.6
BB %
17
6.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
100
≈ 49th pctl
Chase cost
-27.0r
285 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-7.2r
164 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
53.7%
1,349 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.54
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3315223+67%6+18%11+48%23+32%25+55%29+33%124+64%14-8%25-20%56-26%57-13%46+72%25+47%17+50%22+2%48-34%62-28%80-23%47+36%22+46%13+22%27+24%33+20%49+22%50+4%28+50%82+11%9+18%11+30%10+0%14+0%6+0%61CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000