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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Rank #9 of 41

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Max Muncy
Max Muncy · #9
V⁻ -18VORP 26V⁺ 50
Max Muncy

Max Muncy

3B·LAD
Compare
Compare
PA
225
H
51
HR
14
AVG
.258
xwOBA
.383
PPG
2.33
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj70301.228.347.458.230.35824.7%14.5%10.1%1511732.48—
202660225.258
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
87
.383
xBA
62
.266
xSLG
.347
.505
.247
.383
25.3%
11.6%
13.7%
14
0
140
2.33
—
2025120379.245.382.474.229.37821.1%16.4%4.7%1942942.45—
202492294.231.365.492.261.35926.2%15.3%10.9%1532212.40—
2023144579.212.337.475.263.36726.4%14.7%11.7%3613872.69—
2022151565.196.333.384.188.34825.0%15.9%9.1%2122861.89—
2021152593.249.368.526.277.41020.2%14.0%6.2%3624422.91—
202079250.190.331.385.195.36324.0%15.6%8.4%1211862.35—
2019153589.251.376.515.264.38225.3%15.3%10.0%3554382.86—
2018153481.263.392.582.319.40527.2%16.4%10.8%3543662.39—
201649133.186.308.257.071.31518.0%15.0%3.0%20460.94—
93
.537
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
74
90.8
Median EV
90
97.1
90th % EV
72
106.7
Barrel %
93
17.0
Hard-Hit %
80
48.2
Sweet-Spot %
40
34.8
Bat Speed
Avg
43
70.1
Median
40
71.2
90th %
26
74.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
73
25.4
Whiff %
30
25.1
K %
22
25.3
BB %
71
11.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 58th pctl
Chase cost
-4.8r
54 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-3.4r
59 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.8%
336 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.44
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1+14%71212+64%11-12%16+22%9531+29%7+0%17-43%21-43%30-12%17+14%75+50%10-11%19-19%16-36%25-7%1543+33%64+38%13+0%63511231CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 336