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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Max Muncy

Max Muncy

3B·LAD
Compare
Compare
PA
379
H
75
HR
19
AVG
.245
xwOBA
.378
PPG
2.45
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202660225.258.347.505.247.38325.3%11.6%13.7%1401402.33—
2025120379.245
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

379 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
91
.378
xBA
31
.242
.382
.474
.229
.378
21.1%
16.4%
4.7%
19
4
294
2.45
—
202492294.231.365.492.261.35926.2%15.3%10.9%1532212.40—
2023144579.212.337.475.263.36726.4%14.7%11.7%3613872.69—
2022151565.196.333.384.188.34825.0%15.9%9.1%2122861.89—
2021152593.249.368.526.277.41020.2%14.0%6.2%3624422.91—
202079250.190.331.385.195.36324.0%15.6%8.4%1211862.35—
2019153589.251.376.515.264.38225.3%15.3%10.0%3554382.86—
2018153481.263.392.582.319.40527.2%16.4%10.8%3543662.39—
201649133.186.308.257.071.31518.0%15.0%3.0%20460.94—
xSLG
87
.503
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
75
91.2
Median EV
89
95.5
90th % EV
53
105.8
Barrel %
77
13.4
Hard-Hit %
89
51.1
Sweet-Spot %
83
39.4
Bat Speed
Avg
28
69.1
Median
31
70.7
90th %
32
75.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
95
20.0
Whiff %
48
22.4
K %
47
21.1
BB %
99
16.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
121
≈ 98th pctl
Chase cost
-19.1r
216 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-10.2r
214 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.4%
1,645 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.78
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2+17%6+20%10+11%9+0%1243+42%12+24%25+32%41+20%45+23%30+0%21+0%6+48%27+2%48-38%73-14%69-2%54+15%20+0%9+19%27-12%58-32%56-26%57-11%27+20%155+0%18+0%30-6%16+14%22+10%20+17%614+0%63+0%65CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000