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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #136 of 235

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Michael Conforto
Michael Conforto · #60
V⁻ -14VORP -5V⁺ 17
Michael Conforto

Michael Conforto

OF·CHC
Compare
Compare
PA
109
H
22
HR
4
AVG
.237
xwOBA
.358
PPG
1.07
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj32138.227.321.382.155.31824.9%11.0%13.9%40611.89—
202645109.237
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

109 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
66
.358
xBA
39
.250
.343
.462
.225
.358
30.3%
13.8%
16.5%
4
1
48
1.07
—
2025140480.196.304.329.133.33424.8%11.5%13.3%1211761.26—
2024135488.237.311.450.213.35424.2%8.6%15.6%2002491.84—
2023128470.239.337.384.145.33422.6%11.3%11.3%1542321.81—
2021131481.230.344.382.152.35221.6%12.3%9.3%1412391.82—
202056233.322.412.515.193.37424.5%10.3%14.2%931552.77—
2019154648.257.365.494.237.37523.0%13.0%10.0%3374152.69—
2018156639.243.351.447.204.34724.9%13.1%11.8%2833452.21—
2017119440.279.386.555.276.38525.7%13.0%12.7%2723052.56—
2016117348.220.313.414.194.32525.6%10.3%15.3%1221681.44—
xSLG
72
.472
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
94
94.0
Median EV
88
96.4
90th % EV
54
105.5
Barrel %
87
14.8
Hard-Hit %
94
54.1
Sweet-Spot %
77
39.3
Bat Speed
Avg
55
70.6
Median
58
72.7
90th %
78
78.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
75
24.9
Whiff %
14
29.0
K %
8
30.3
BB %
83
13.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
106
≈ 73th pctl
Chase cost
-2.4r
19 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.9r
19 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.4%
143 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.28
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
111111224-17%63123-33%15-14%7422+33%9-37%8-62%8-15%13+0%633+0%7531221CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 143