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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Michael Conforto

Michael Conforto

OF·CHC
Compare
Compare
PA
470
H
97
HR
15
AVG
.239
xwOBA
.334
PPG
1.81
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202643104.250.359.489.239.37228.8%14.4%14.4%41541.26—
2025140480.196
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

470 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
45
.334
xBA
19
.240
.304
.329
.133
.334
24.8%
11.5%
13.3%
12
1
176
1.26
—
2024135488.237.311.450.213.35424.2%8.6%15.6%2002491.84—
2023128470.239.337.384.145.33422.6%11.3%11.3%1542321.81—
2021131481.230.344.382.152.35221.6%12.3%9.3%1412391.82—
202056233.322.412.515.193.37424.5%10.3%14.2%931552.77—
2019154648.257.365.494.237.37523.0%13.0%10.0%3374152.69—
2018156639.243.351.447.204.34724.9%13.1%11.8%2833452.21—
2017119440.279.386.555.276.38525.7%13.0%12.7%2723052.56—
2016117348.220.313.414.194.32525.6%10.3%15.3%1221681.44—
xSLG
31
.417
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
38
88.9
Median EV
40
91.7
90th % EV
46
104.9
Barrel %
40
7.9
Hard-Hit %
34
39.8
Sweet-Spot %
21
33.2
Bat Speed
Avg
71
71.9
Median
66
72.6
90th %
65
77.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
73
24.3
Whiff %
42
22.9
K %
34
22.6
BB %
81
11.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
110
≈ 83th pctl
Chase cost
-28.1r
302 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-14.0r
247 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.1%
1,924 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.19
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
44+0%7+0%10+11%941+11%9+48%21+11%38+22%49+25%32+7%14+0%6+50%22+19%52-14%64-25%69-11%47+27%26+13%15+33%12+6%48-36%64-16%56-9%44+12%25+14%7+13%8+45%20+6%35+9%23+14%21+11%93345532CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000