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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Michael Conforto

Michael Conforto

OF·CHC
Compare
Compare
PA
488
H
104
HR
20
AVG
.237
xwOBA
.354
PPG
1.84
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202644109.237.343.462.225.35830.3%13.8%16.5%41511.16—
2025140480.196
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

488 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
79
.354
xBA
59
.255
.304
.329
.133
.334
24.8%
11.5%
13.3%
12
1
176
1.26
—
2024135488.237.311.450.213.35424.2%8.6%15.6%2002491.84—
2023128470.239.337.384.145.33422.6%11.3%11.3%1542321.81—
2021131481.230.344.382.152.35221.6%12.3%9.3%1412391.82—
202056233.322.412.515.193.37424.5%10.3%14.2%931552.77—
2019154648.257.365.494.237.37523.0%13.0%10.0%3374152.69—
2018156639.243.351.447.204.34724.9%13.1%11.8%2833452.21—
2017119440.279.386.555.276.38525.7%13.0%12.7%2723052.56—
2016117348.220.313.414.194.32525.6%10.3%15.3%1221681.44—
xSLG
86
.492
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
60
90.2
Median EV
60
93.1
90th % EV
75
107.0
Barrel %
72
11.8
Hard-Hit %
69
45.8
Sweet-Spot %
35
34.7
Bat Speed
Avg
79
72.6
Median
79
73.8
90th %
82
79.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
73
24.6
Whiff %
44
22.9
K %
34
24.2
BB %
52
8.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
108
≈ 77th pctl
Chase cost
-29.1r
309 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.3r
289 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.8%
1,984 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.29
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+0%75+10%10+13%8+0%1045+22%9+37%30+19%32-11%38+6%35+14%14+0%13+30%20+3%32-20%83-27%73-16%56+37%27+0%17+32%19-2%45-29%62-27%52-10%42+30%23+0%7+10%10+26%19+18%17+24%29+43%14+13%8+0%6+17%6+0%652251CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000