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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Michael Conforto

Michael Conforto

OF·CHC
Compare
Compare
PA
480
H
81
HR
12
AVG
.196
xwOBA
.334
PPG
1.26
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202643104.250.359.489.239.37228.8%14.4%14.4%41541.26—
2025140480.196
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

480 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
50
.334
xBA
18
.235
.304
.329
.133
.334
24.8%
11.5%
13.3%
12
1
176
1.26
—
2024135488.237.311.450.213.35424.2%8.6%15.6%2002491.84—
2023128470.239.337.384.145.33422.6%11.3%11.3%1542321.81—
2021131481.230.344.382.152.35221.6%12.3%9.3%1412391.82—
202056233.322.412.515.193.37424.5%10.3%14.2%931552.77—
2019154648.257.365.494.237.37523.0%13.0%10.0%3374152.69—
2018156639.243.351.447.204.34724.9%13.1%11.8%2833452.21—
2017119440.279.386.555.276.38525.7%13.0%12.7%2723052.56—
2016117348.220.313.414.194.32525.6%10.3%15.3%1221681.44—
xSLG
34
.416
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
44
90.0
Median EV
50
93.1
90th % EV
50
105.6
Barrel %
51
9.8
Hard-Hit %
45
44.1
Sweet-Spot %
42
35.6
Bat Speed
Avg
82
72.6
Median
77
73.8
90th %
80
78.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
77
23.2
Whiff %
45
22.7
K %
26
24.8
BB %
78
11.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 69th pctl
Chase cost
-32.2r
316 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.0r
292 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.2%
2,055 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.34
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1+17%6+13%8+0%9+0%953+17%6+18%11+10%42+27%45+14%28+11%195+63%24-15%41-24%63-20%70-20%59+18%38+0%13+29%28-12%50-24%63-23%61-21%47+33%27+0%9+13%16+52%23+26%23+19%27+23%13+0%1032+0%9+14%7521CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000