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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #19 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II · #19
V⁻ -5VORP 47V⁺ 64
Michael Harris II

Michael Harris II

OF·ATL
Compare
Compare
PA
237
H
68
HR
13
AVG
.304
xwOBA
.389
PPG
2.56
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj91392.275.312.462.188.34019.1%4.8%14.3%16112282.51—
202663237.304
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
91
.389
xBA
96
.302
xSLG
.339
.518
.214
.389
18.6%
4.6%
14.0%
13
3
161
2.56
—
2025164642.248.271.408.160.31519.9%2.5%17.4%20203091.88—
2024117470.264.306.418.154.34820.0%4.9%15.1%16102552.18—
2023148539.293.333.477.184.35718.7%4.6%14.1%18213352.26—
2022125441.297.339.514.217.34024.3%4.8%19.5%19233002.40—
95
.548
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
88
92.4
Median EV
84
95.7
90th % EV
92
108.8
Barrel %
88
15.1
Hard-Hit %
93
53.1
Sweet-Spot %
9
30.7
Bat Speed
Avg
85
73.7
Median
80
74.5
90th %
67
78.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
2
43.2
Whiff %
38
23.2
K %
62
18.6
BB %
6
4.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
92
≈ 21th pctl
Chase cost
-6.8r
72 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.4r
35 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
56.4%
287 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.86
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
112+33%64115+50%10+40%10+46%13+57%73+57%7+23%13-12%25-33%18-8%13+29%75+57%7+0%14-35%17-28%18+17%12314+17%6+33%644112233CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 287