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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Michael Harris II

Michael Harris II

OF·ATL
Compare
Compare
PA
539
H
148
HR
18
AVG
.293
xwOBA
.357
PPG
2.26
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202663237.304.339.518.214.38918.6%4.6%14.0%1331612.56—
2025164642.248
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
72
.357
xBA
94
.298
xSLG
.271
.408
.160
.315
19.9%
2.5%
17.4%
20
20
309
1.88
—
2024117470.264.306.418.154.34820.0%4.9%15.1%16102552.18—
2023148539.293.333.477.184.35718.7%4.6%14.1%18213352.26—
2022125441.297.339.514.217.34024.3%4.8%19.5%19233002.40—
80
.493
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
66
90.5
Median EV
72
93.9
90th % EV
88
108.2
Barrel %
59
10.0
Hard-Hit %
78
48.5
Sweet-Spot %
49
36.3
Bat Speed
Avg
73
72.0
Median
72
73.3
90th %
65
77.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
7
38.1
Whiff %
47
22.2
K %
62
18.7
BB %
4
4.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
91
≈ 19th pctl
Chase cost
-44.5r
472 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-12.4r
258 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
52.9%
1,995 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.85
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
2+0%7+20%10+0%6+11%9+11%9+0%6+63%8+55%20+32%34+29%35+20%30+25%16+0%7+61%28+25%44-34%53-29%69-30%44+65%31+21%19+64%22+37%38-25%69-27%52-26%46+57%28+30%10+33%12+71%14+23%30+34%32+26%35+63%825+0%6+17%65252CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000