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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Michael Harris II

Michael Harris II

OF·ATL
Compare
Compare
PA
642
H
152
HR
20
AVG
.248
xwOBA
.315
PPG
1.88
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202663237.304.339.518.214.38918.6%4.6%14.0%1331612.56—
2025164642.248
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
21
.315
xBA
69
.264
xSLG
.271
.408
.160
.315
19.9%
2.5%
17.4%
20
20
309
1.88
—
2024117470.264.306.418.154.34820.0%4.9%15.1%16102552.18—
2023148539.293.333.477.184.35718.7%4.6%14.1%18213352.26—
2022125441.297.339.514.217.34024.3%4.8%19.5%19233002.40—
50
.437
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
36
89.3
Median EV
28
91.8
90th % EV
88
108.6
Barrel %
44
9.1
Hard-Hit %
41
43.3
Sweet-Spot %
4
31.2
Bat Speed
Avg
80
72.5
Median
77
73.8
90th %
70
78.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
1
42.9
Whiff %
45
22.7
K %
51
19.9
BB %
0
2.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
79
≈ 2th pctl
Chase cost
-57.9r
564 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-13.1r
262 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
56.8%
2,163 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.28
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+30%104+0%7+36%11+11%9+0%71+50%18+53%45+47%43+32%41+29%31+54%13+17%6+67%30+23%44-29%82-27%66-22%51+50%24+22%9+52%27-7%43-40%52-14%58-6%33+38%213+38%16+67%15+11%19+32%25+65%20+56%9143532+17%6CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000