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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. RP peers

Rank #483 of 505

Each bar is one RP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Michael Kopech
Michael Kopech · #60
V⁻ —VORP -234V⁺ —
Michael Kopech

Michael Kopech

RP·FA
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj18018.011004.454.2524.9%12.8%12.1%————311.71
202514011.000062.454.4622.6%24.5%-1.9%.332.21484.2%28.6%322.29
202479178.77815
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

No MLB Statcast pitching rows for 2026.

12
3.32
3.98
31.5%
12.2%
19.3%
.297
.235
80.5%
38.8%
282
3.57
20233229136.7513005.806.3622.7%15.4%7.3%.364.27775.9%35.6%1133.53
20222727123.369003.654.6221.1%11.4%9.7%.313.22174.3%35.9%2147.93
202149475.7530164.403.1036.1%8.4%27.7%.262.33172.5%39.5%2144.37
20184414.311005.026.1022.1%2.9%19.2%.422.38188.8%28.3%205.00