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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #46 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak · #46
V⁻ -7VORP 30V⁺ 31
Mickey Moniak

Mickey Moniak

OF·COL
Compare
Compare
PA
164
H
42
HR
12
AVG
.280
xwOBA
.323
PPG
2.65
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj62267.263.311.491.228.34924.3%5.8%18.5%1341532.46—
202643164.280
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

164 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
36
.323
xBA
20
.228
.337
.607
.327
.323
24.4%
6.1%
18.3%
12
1
114
2.65
—
2025135461.270.308.518.248.33923.9%4.8%19.1%2492762.04—
2024128418.219.266.380.161.28627.3%5.0%22.3%1491641.28—
202385323.280.307.495.215.30835.0%2.8%32.2%1461541.81—
202247112.170.207.302.132.20639.3%3.6%35.7%32651.38—
20212137.091.167.182.091.20643.2%8.1%35.1%10-1-0.05—
2020618.214.389.214.000.34533.3%22.2%11.1%0040.67—
xSLG
72
.470
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
48
89.7
Median EV
24
90.0
90th % EV
47
104.8
Barrel %
79
13.5
Hard-Hit %
43
41.4
Sweet-Spot %
34
34.2
Bat Speed
Avg
72
72.4
Median
72
73.7
90th %
60
77.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
4
41.4
Whiff %
30
25.1
K %
26
24.4
BB %
12
6.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
83
≈ 5th pctl
Chase cost
-6.2r
62 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.4r
25 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
57.0%
237 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.23
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
21322123+40%10+33%6-11%9224+17%12-19%16-38%13+13%8+50%62+50%8+24%21-29%14-6%16-10%101+33%62+75%81+33%64211CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 237