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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Mickey Moniak

Mickey Moniak

OF·COL
Compare
Compare
PA
323
H
87
HR
14
AVG
.280
xwOBA
.308
PPG
1.81
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202643164.280.337.607.327.32324.4%6.1%18.3%1211142.65—
2025135461.270
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

323 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
11
.308
xBA
20
.241
.308
.518
.248
.339
23.9%
4.8%
19.1%
24
9
276
2.04
—
2024128418.219.266.380.161.28627.3%5.0%22.3%1491641.28—
202385323.280.307.495.215.30835.0%2.8%32.2%1461541.81—
202247112.170.207.302.132.20639.3%3.6%35.7%32651.38—
20212137.091.167.182.091.20643.2%8.1%35.1%10-1-0.05—
2020618.214.389.214.000.34533.3%22.2%11.1%0040.67—
xSLG
53
.444
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
24
88.2
Median EV
40
91.7
90th % EV
47
105.0
Barrel %
81
12.6
Hard-Hit %
25
38.4
Sweet-Spot %
93
39.9
Bat Speed
Avg
61
71.0
Median
67
72.7
90th %
54
76.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
1
46.3
Whiff %
0
35.6
K %
0
35.0
BB %
0
2.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
79
≈ 2th pctl
Chase cost
-32.3r
328 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-5.8r
100 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
61.3%
1,155 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.29
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
4+14%7+50%8+17%12+10%1023+50%16+38%24+19%36+31%36+26%34+26%19+11%9+52%27+22%45-9%69-24%66-5%44+61%33+56%18+64%36+7%57-19%43-21%58+0%27+89%18+29%7+53%17+65%17+52%21+47%17+45%11+75%1653+75%8+17%6231CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000